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Tran Hung Dao's avatar

One thing I struggle with this kind of analysis is that it lacks, for want of a better phrase, any attempt to include "The Chinese Experience". You mention how the Reformation shattered the unity of Western Christendom: but China has never had anything like a unified religion. You talk about Americans going to church every week: but China has never had anything like weekly church/temple attendance. You talk about the Scientific Revolution killing off the divine mystery: but Confucianism never had anything like a divine mystery to kill in the first place. Darwin showed kinship with the rest of nature: but China had Taoism 2,000 years before Darwin. Nietzche may have killed god: but there never WAS a god in China.

Of course, China is not the only example, just an extremely prominent one in world history. I live in Vietnam which, according to Wikipedia is 74% irreligion/folk belief, which also lacks the hallmarks of Western belief.

And yet....the Western world doesn't have a monopoly on the malaise you talk about.

So while I actually mostly agree with what you've written, there's also part of me that feels the explanation somehow isn't quite right, can't be quite right, until the Western lens is dropped and a more global catalogue of human experience is incorporated into the explanation.

And, for that matter, are today's actual religious societies -- Israel, Turkey, Iran, India, Saudi Arabia -- actually less immune to the Permanent Problem? I only know as much about those places as the average internet reader but my impression is they are suffering from the same issues despite their much greater levels of faith. And places with even more atheism, like Sweden and Japan, aren't noticeably worse.

All of which makes me worried that "modern capitalism", or whatever you want to call the fundamental system causing the Permanent Problem, is so overwhelmingly strong that even entrenched faith is relatively powerless in its face.

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Kevin Bowe's avatar

Great essay. I feel the central conflict that is driving our "loss of faith"(and trust) is the acceleration of change driven by the early days of the digital age. For example, it took 70 years years from the Seneca Falls Convention in 1848 to women finally getting the right to vote, but a mere 11 years from when Massachusetts became the first state to legalize gay marriage to when all 50 states legalized it. In terms of "women's liberation" it was all talk and every little progress from Seneca Falls until the Pill was introduced in 1958 and in 10 years the sexual revolution was in full gear. So that general concept of accelerated change as a social disrupter is central to my thinking. (I read Future Shock when I was a kid, loved it but forgot about it...until about 7 years ago and BOOM, it made perfect sense.)

I agree with the need for a strong secular moral compass that can match the spiritual fullness of traditional religion, without its superstitious, authoritarian and abusive tendencies. Many secular efforts that provide "the secret of life" turn into abusive cults themselves. Although I'm aware of "Secular Saturday's" in which spiritual secularists have readings and lectures that are often organized by former pastors, I've never attended one. But I have watched online to "Civic Saturdays" by Eric Liu's https://citizenuniversity.us and this seems like an interesting model to build community and social bonding, without the religious baggage.

But I fear we can not handle the accelerated pace of change and old norms and institutions will fall before we have built (or even conceived of) new norms and institutions. I think the classic notions of what it means to be conservative--embracing order and traditions--or to be a progressive--embracing change that will improve society--are obsolete. Conservatives embracing 17th thought to govern 21st century realities or progressives spouting utopian notions about the internet in the 1990s are two short-sighted examples in which "both sides" have failed us.

So as technology accelerates, we lose faith and trust in EVERYTHING, we are left exposed until we build new institutions and norms for a new age. It is this period, which in my amateurish way I've dubbed "the soft shell period" of history in which we as a society are at our weakest point (like a crab or lobster that molts it's shell and is vulnerable to predators until it grows a new shell).

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